In our periodic polling of preppers on what they believe is most likely to trigger a societal collapse (widespread, long lasting loss of law and order), an economic collapse is often the top concern. A recession may already be underway, with the US economic output falling in the first quarter of 2025, the impacts of the Trump trade war starting to hit. More investment firms are now predicting a recession in 2025 is likely. There are unfortunately many ways an economic downturn could lead to a collapse, violence and widespread loss of law and order: Any of the above factors […]
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Poll estimates Likelihood of Civil War Rising, overall a 25% annual probability of a collapse
A recent poll of several hundred preppers, people who are looking at news and watching for threatindications, well informed, asked, “Do you believe that President Trump’s actions and plans to date are increasing or decreasing the likelihood of a domestic civil war?” The poll found that 50% believe Trump is “greatly increasing” the likelihood of civil war, with another 20% indicating he is slightly increasing likelihood of civil war. 7% responded that Trump is not having an impact on the likelihood of civil war, but that a domestic civil war is likely. Combined, 77% of respondents believe Trump is increasing the […]
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